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In reading the recent proposition 8 editorials and articles, I have a couple of recurring tangential thoughts that just won't go away.

Universally, all major religions: Islam, Christianity, Shinto, Buddhism and adherents of Confucius all have accepted holy writ designating homosexual liaisons as prohibited to their adherents.

Consequently, I would presuppose that a majority of the LGBT activists have spurned such theocratic teachings and any acceptance of such religions stems more from custom than from any particular devotion; finding any religious teaching which objects to their chosen life-style as fundamentally flawed.

In rejecting all of the world’s major deity-based theologies, the remaining theologies are various forms of paganism and Darwinism.

An espoused belief in Darwinism (or the humanist philosophy of rational thought) would generally explain, even in the absence of any empirical evidence, the assertion (ironically, requiring faith in the existence of that which has not been scientifically observed) that sexual orientation is a genetically based physical trait and not merely a matter of personal sexual preference.

However; an intellectual adherent to Darwin’s theory of creation through natural selection is presented with an impossible conundrum: Natural selection presupposes that positive mutations are driven by the imperatives of survival and promulgation of the species. Consequently, there is no reasonable scientific explanation, given millions of years of human evolution, for the persistence of a dominate homosexual gene which inherently reduces or even precludes the perpetuation, through progeny, of those with the affecting gene or trait.

With no other available religious alternatives, I am surprised that most of the LGBT community does not identify themselves as pagans; which has no objection to unconventional lifestyles and does not require the justification of a LGBT sexual orientation.

Maybe they are pagans, and either have not realized it, or have not made known their faith for fear of not being accepted by the vast majority of non-pagans . . . now that would be ironic!

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Those Pesky Statistics and Data

An editorial response to "Wage Gap Still Significant"

http://www.thespectrum.com/

On May 3, 2007 "The Spectrum" published one of those glass ceiling reports.  "New labor statistics demonstrate that American women are only paid cents on the dollar to their male counter-parts."

Trouble was...that's the EXACT OPPOSITE of what the data and report indicated.  In keeping with the famous movie line from "The Man Who Shot Liberty Valance:" "...When faced with printing the facts or the myth...print the myth."
Well the Spectrum took that sage advise, maybe that's part of the reason few people each year express faith in the main-stream media these days.  Instead of news, we get editorials & opinion pieces dressed up to look like news.
 
 
 
 
Well, in keeping with the tag line of a Journalist I still trust:  "...And now, the rest of the story... "

 
The summary of the Association of University Women in Washington (AAUW) wage study looks pretty unfair: "One year out of college, women working full-time earn only 80 percent as much as their male colleagues earn. Ten years after graduation, women fall farther behind, earning only 69 percent as much as men earn."

The story told by the data in the report and the stories drawn and reported about the report are so different as to leave only the conclusion that the real story is the politics embodied by a pay-gap more than a pay-gap itself. There was a interesting piece in the Chicago Tribune (with a general reputation of being slightly more politically liberal than the late Chairman Mao). In its reporting of the AAUW study, the following "under-reported" facts were mentioned:

-- The report recognizes that women with college degrees tend to go into such fields as education, humanities, and sociology, etc. These career fields typically pay significantly less than the sectors preferred by men; engineering, business, mathematics, and the so-called hard sciences. They are also more likely than men to work for nonprofit groups and local governments, which do not offer the most competitive salaries.

-- As women get older, it was reported that many elect to work less so they can spend time with their children. A decade after graduation, 39% of women are out of the work force or working part time -- compared with only 3% of men. When these mothers return to full-time jobs, it should not be surprising that they earn less than those who did not.

-- Even before they have kids, men and women often do different things that may affect earnings. A year out of college, the report noted women in full-time jobs work an average of 42 hours a week, compared to 45 for men. Far more often than women, men were reported to work +50 hours a week.

-- Buried in the report is an incredible admission: "After accounting for ALL factors known to affect wages, about one-quarter of the gap REMAINS UNEXPLAINED and may be attributed to discrimination." [emphasis added]

In other words: wage difference are often due to a comparison between apples & oranges. There IS data showing that engineers make more money than psychologists. There IS data that there are more male engineers than females engineers; and, there ARE more female psychologists than male. The study FOUND NO DATA demonstrating female engineers, with like education & experience, make any less money than male engineers...The study found that there are differences in pay BETWEEN professional fields, but the study DID NOT FIND there to be differences in pay WITHIN professional fields amongst equally qualified employees.

The AAUW report found data to suggest that a woman interrupts her career 60% more often than a man will. Women, in the aggregate, work fewer hours than male employees. In instances where the employees are hourly workers, there OUGHT to be a difference in wages. In instances where the employees are salaried, the extra hours spent working COULD justifiably an existence in salary differences.

On the last point, 75% of the gap had demonstrably innocent causes -- and AAUW researchers, without ANY data or evidence, are make a conjecture that wage discrimination is responsible for ALL of the remaining 25% of UNKNOWN reasons for wage differences.

Given the survey was conducted by the "Association of UNIVERSITY WOMEN in Washington," [emphasis added] I’m sure that the TOTAL absence of ANY evidence of wage discrimination was not caused by a lack of due diligence in seeking economic data to demonstrate its existence.

Harvard economist Claudia Goldin, was asked if there is evidence to warrant a conclusion that women experience systemic pay discrimination. She replied, "No. There are certainly instances of discrimination, but most of the gap is the result of different choices." Professor Goldin indicates that other hard-to-measure factors largely account for the remaining gap -- "Probably not all, but most of it." http://www.econlib.org/Library/Enc/GenderGap.html

June O'Neill, an economist at Baruch College, and former director of the Congressional Budget Office, has noted labor statistics that call into question the entire thesis of wage discrimination. When interviewed, Ms. O’Neill noted that when the effects of marriage and child-rearing are removed from compensation studies, there is no difference in wages between the sexes. "For men and women who never marry and never have children, THERE IS NO EARNINGS GAP." [emphasis added] http://www.econlib.org/library/ENC/ComparableWorth.html Further, among adults working part-time (34 hours a week or less), women's earnings are actually 115% of men's (US Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, report 952, pp. 16-17, dated AUG01). http://www.bls.gov/cps/cpswom2000.pdf

When the topic of gender based salary discrimination is addressed based on facts and statistics, the objective conclusions are a LOT different than when this subject is viewed subjectively through the lenses of emotion and politics. I guess the cold analysis of data isn’t nearly as interesting as are stories about victimized women being preyed upon in the workplace.

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Drill, Drill, Drill--A Misplaced Economic Focus

Drill, Drill, Drill – A Case In Studied Ignorance
Increased Drilling Will Affect Consumer Prices next to Nil

It’s as if the political mavens are intentionally setting the American consumer up. The ploy is to use slogans to divert the public from the obvious.

“Supply and demand” is an effective force in mitigating prices that are unreasonable to the market, but it is only a small factor and needs to be kept in a proper perspective. Trouble is, consumer pricing, particularly on gasoline, has never been driven by supply and demand. The correct adage for establishing consumer pricing is: “What the market will bear.”

If exploration and new drilling results in a doubling of the amount of oil availability to the international market, it won’t have a significant impact on the amount of available gasoline supply in the United States...or, our price at the pump.

Only a little bit of logic, common sense, and a look recent market history all say that I’m right.

First: There is only a general relationship between the price per barrel and the bill at the pump.

A few years ago, OPEC were being blamed for an unexpected and significant jump in the price of petroleum products to over $60 per barrel. When production was increased, the per barrel price dropped on world-markets back to roughly $40; about where pricing had been before the spike. US consumer fuel prices however, moved only slightly in response to reduced crude prices. While the cost of raw materials was demonstrably reduced in the production of fuel & heating oil, somewhere in the market chain of oil companies, oil transportation dealers, oil refineries, wholesalers, distributors and finally gas stations, the cost reduction was transferred from a cost to a profit. As US markets had demonstrated a willingness to pay $2.00+ per gallon, the price was maintained.

In the same context. Now that crude oil futures are closing in on $160 per barrel (current spot markets are still only half of that price) the pump price doesn’t demonstrate a direct correlation to price per barrel. It does show a fairly significant relationship to the value of the dollar in the present international currency market and a general adjustment for inflation. So adjusted, fuel costs are roughly the same adjusted percentage of the consumer’s total disposable income as it was about ten years ago.

Initially, we moved to more economical cars. Even today’s SUVs get better gas milage than the average station-wagon of the 1970s. As we moved from vehicles that got 12-14 miles per gallon to similar vehicles today that get 20-24 miles per gallon we pump prices static...which was actually a reduction in our percentage of total household incomes. The market steadily adjusted.

If one tracks CURRENT spot-market pricing for oil with pump prices, a given cost of oil seldom provides a strong correlation to pump pricing. When crude prices go up, pump prices go up. When crude prices go down, pump pricing eventually goes down...but not anywhere near the prior pricing levels for the same cost per barrel of crude oil. Even when oil prices are static, every few months pump prices are tested with higher pricing. Once a noticeable drop in consumption is demonstrated, pump pricing drops a few cents, but very seldom to the pricing prior to market testing.

When a “crisis” occurs...a hurricane, an embargo, et. al., the market testing is accelerated, but even if the crisis is avoided, the margin still moves up as a factor of the prior public acceptance, even temporally, of higher pricing. Remember a few years ago when a hurricane “endangered” a single oil derrick in the Gulf. Pump prices quickly jumped 15¢ per gallon in the anticipation that the derrick would be badly damaged or that nearby refineries would be damaged. The public was mollified with the explanation that today’s higher prices resulted from the anticipated higher “pipeline replacement price.” In the end, the derrick wasn’t damaged and was producing at pre-crisis rates within a week. No refineries were damaged.... Pricing SLOWLY began to adjust towards the “pre-crisis” price–over the next several months. In the end, the price settled down to just about 3¢ above the “pre-crisis” price.

It is only when domestic consumption drops to below the economic threshold of refinery profitability that there is pressure to either reduce–or at least slow the rate of increase to consumer pricing.

Another set of examples.

Gasoline used to have a performance additive of lead. An unleaded gasoline was produced and then a small amount of lead was added to the fuel. In the 1970s, it was mandated that all new domestic cars run on unleaded gasoline. In response, the price for unleaded gasoline almost immediately became MORE expensive than leaded gasoline...and continued to be more expensive until leaded gasoline was totally phased out.

Diesel requires significantly less refinement than does unleaded gasoline. Because it is cheaper to produce, world-wide diesel fuel is the less expensive standard for transportation...except in the US. Here, domestic consumer prices for diesel have been more expensive at the pump than gasoline for the last 10 years. The corporate explanation...they have not been accurately able to estimate the domestic need and continuously the available supply is less than consumer demands—yeah,...right.

Most folks have failed to notice that truckers, railroads, and other high consumers of diesel fuel pay roughly 20%-50% less than the retail consumer price. The argument is that businesses obtain lower pricing as a result of quantity purchases coupled with long-term contracts that fix pricing for future fuel consumption needs. Strange, no diesel fuel wholesalers or distributors have similarly been able to give themselves a competitive edge to pass along reduced prices to their customers.

Actually, while consumers are paying $4.70 a gallon for diesel at the pump, market pricing for railroads, and similar quantity consumers is about $3.20 a gallon. US retail diesel drivers represent a small nitch market...which has demonstrated a willingness to pay between $4.65 and $4.80 a gallon. As long as consumers are willing to maintain current market consumption at the existing prices–costs at the pump will never go down.

Large consumers, such as railroads in particular, get lower prices because as an aggregate, they have refused to pay higher prices. They represent a large enough market that if domestic suppliers fail to provide fuel at competitive prices, foreign fuel sources, for which diesel is a primary market, are ready to step in.

Consumer purchase patterns have more to do with retail pricing than does the production cost, or availability of product.

Second: More drilling will mean more crude oil will be available for refining into consumer products. BUT...where the crude oil goes will be driven by world markets. Chevron, Exxon, Mobil, Shell (a Dutch company) and BP (British Petroleum) ship world-wide to the customer offering the highest price per barrel. The fact that Mobil drilled a high producing well in the ANWAR doesn’t mean that the oil will be sent to their refinery facilities in Benicia, California. On the contrary, most existing US refineries are already operating at their optimum economic levels of production. Send them more oil to refine will result in more oil sitting in the facility storage tanks for longer periods of time...not in higher rates of production of consumer products.

Effectively, more US drilling will not result in increased US supplies of gasoline, heating oil, or diesel fuel.

What will?

Well, if oil companies were incentivized to construct more US refineries, then there would be more oil products in the US. The cost of shipping refined products would make selling to US consumers, at lower prices, more profitable than shipping the product to markets in Europe and Asia...even at significantly higher prices –most notably, domestic and foreign taxes are generally based on gross sales. Increase domestic refineries would result in enhanced domestic supplies of consumer products.

So, why don’t we push for more domestic refineries?

One of the biggest issues of any plan to expand domestic refineries curtailing the current empowerment of the “green” political interest group.

Environmentalist don’t just oppose energy development of oil, they have an active history of being in total opposition to the development of any and all known sources of energy in the US. Nuclear, coal & coal gasification, oil & oil refineries, hydro-electric, wind (aesthetical unsightly), geothermal, exploration of facilities for mass power generation from solar have been attacked as a blight. Finally, even passive power generation from tidal flows is enmeshed in a protracted court battle...at the possibility of fish being confused.

Environmentalists oppose US drilling 90 miles off the coast of Florida...but have shown total indifference to drilling on the same site by the socialist governments of Venezuelan, Chinese, and Cuban state oil companies. There has been a significant “green” opposition to drilling in ANWAR...but no protests of Russian exploration and drilling in the nearby Bering Strait. So for many, it isn’t the drilling they oppose, but rather US drilling.

While environmentalist present themselves as individuals and groups concerned about maintaining the world ecology, their own actions have definitively demonstrated that environmentalism is simply a fancy way of expressing the blatantly selfish position of, “Not in my back yard.”

Okay, presuppose that consumer interests could trump environmentism and US oil companies double the existing number of refining facilities to 1970 levels, would that result in lower consumer prices?

The best we can get is a qualified “yes.”

Another obstacle to overcome is the self-interests of the oil companies to limit refineries to levels lower than saturation...something sightly less than current and foreseeable demand. For all the reasons consumers want more refineries in the US, increased supplies to below current market demands, without an outside stimulus, the oil companies have no market incentive to boost production to the point that supplies exceed demand. More US refineries would mean more gasoline would produced domestically.

Currently, US oil companies are willing to expand US refinery operations...but only to a level where current market profit levels can be maintained. Twice the product at half the price results in equal gross sales. Unfortunately, in this economic model, the profits on gross sales would be negatively impacted by the significantly increased operating expense to double production.

Limited short-term tax incentives for significant short-term gains could induce construction of a sufficient number of refineries such that a level of production would be required to off-set the operational expense–pushing oil companies to sell US refined products domestically to recover the refinery operational expense at minimum levels of profitability.

Will a significant increase in the amount of available gasoline drop the pump prices?

Again, the best we can get is a qualified “yes.”

If the market demonstrates that it is willing to pay $4.00+ per gallon, then even significant increases in supply won’t push prices down. Where the oil company and refinery lower costs, there is every likelihood that other member in the supply chain will absorb reduced costs with higher profit margins.

We saw an excellent example of this just two years ago in Utah. Remember the hurricane that endangered the oil derrick in the Gulf? Well when national gasoline prices began to drop, Utah prices stubbornly refused to move. Prices in the greater Salt Lake City area, where a lot of gasoline is refined, was notably more expensive than pricing in localities where Utah refined oil products where shipped to. The Lt. Governor launched an investigation and held hearings. In the end, it was very clear that product availability from local refineries had little to do with retail pricing. The drop in national prices reflected a drop in pricing from the oil companies and refineries. Reduction in wholesaler, distributor and retailer expense were converted into increased profits until such time as pump prices needed to be reduced to re-attract sales.
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When Its Broken, Its Broken

On April 6th 2006, City Weekly, a Salt Lake City "alternative voice," published an article by Ben Fulton. 

The eventual focus of Mr. Fulton’s article was an emotional based argument that the justification and acceptance of gay marriage does not open the door to acceptance or legalization of other non-traditional sexual practices; specifically polygamy.

I responded to the article with a letter to the editor. I was very much surprised a week later to be called with a request to publish my rebuttal.

Below are both my editorial rebuttal and the original article by Mr. Fulton as was published by City Weekly.

Response to "One Love"

by Doug Van Duker – 7 April 2006

Laws against a polyamorous lifestyle seem to become at issue within the general community of Utah only when the topic of recognition of polygyny by FLDS groups is discussed. Having sex with multiple partners or even illegitimate children doesn’t seem to raise much concern outside of the religious sector of our society.

In 2001, the Rev. Jesse Jackson admitted to having fathered children by his mistress of many years, Karin Stanford [subsequently former President Bill Clinton’s selection of the Rev. Jackson as his "spiritual advisor, " during the Monica affair. Under the circumstances, the President’s selection seemed...sardonic]. No one has suggested censure of the good Reverend based upon his infidelity, and certainly no one has suggested that his relationship constituted bigamy. Is there a significant difference or moral hierarchy in non-traditional sexual relationships? If an individual has a long term sexual relationship with a partner, unbeknownst to the individual’s spouse, why is that less morally offensive than if the spouse is aware of it? Why does it become still more reprehensible if the spouse approves?

Other than the religious community, has anyone in the last 20 years objected to someone else’s lifestyle because the person is "sexually active;" gay, straight or bi-sexual (I think that’s PC speak for what used to be called "promiscuous")?

Gay-marriage is founded in the Court's interpretation of a constitutional right to privacy. In recent years, the courts have consistently held that an individual's personal sexual preferences are a privacy issue. The ruling on Lawrence v. Texas was predicated upon this foundation.

The argument for the recognition of gay relationships, gay-unions, and gay marriage is that the state should have no say as to who an individual may select as a "partner" to love...or just enjoy a little recreational sex with. It is logically ridiculous to then assert that somehow this argument holds an inherent exception against long-term heterosexual relationships or with multiple heterosexual partners.

The nation's courts have ceded the argument that what one does sexually, and with whom one does it, is strictly a matter of privacy and not the business or either the government or the community. The few exceptions appear to be statutory rape (and only sometimes), incest, bigamy, and of course...polygamy. If who one chooses as a sexual partner is not a state or societal interest, then how many partners one has should be of no greater interest, irrespect of the relationships being heterosexual or gay.

The ONLY real difference we, as a society, are making between polygamous sexual relationships and gay relationships is that one involves the knowing assent of more than two people. If sex and relationships are taken totally outside the discussion of morality, what secular basis does anyone retain to object to them...as long as all parties are adults and consent? Or, perhaps the major objection and grievance with polygamy is based upon the fact that these people are "religious," and that is offensive to the gay-advocate community’s sense of "morality?"

How ironic.

*******************

One Love by Ben Fulton – Editorial • April 6, 2006

Don't fall for the conservative canard that if gay marriage comes, polygamy must follow.

The fact that Democrats had a heyday over the Dubai ports deal recently proves one point above all: Like conservatives, Democrats have unfortunately mastered the art of the diversionary tactic.

The Dubai ports deal was a fearful ruse of little consequence to the war on terror. Unfortunately, it may have far-reaching consequences to our role in international trade.

Conservatives are masters of the diversionary tactic. With the national debt and government spending soaring out of control, they instead waste our time over silly issues like the Pledge of Allegiance and the Flag Desecration Amendment. Our policies regarding abortion and birth control in developing nations keep millions on the verge of death, yet they manage to focus everyone's attention on one bed-ridden woman's feeding tube. In what was surely the conservative movement's crowning achievement, they cast a decorated Vietnam War veteran and presidential candidate as a traitor deserving of national contempt, all the while defending the honor of someone who's never seen battle.

Now, with the national conscience seemingly saturated in all things polygamy with the HBO series Big Love, conservative shock troops are about to launch another diversionary tactic in perhaps their most important battle ever. That is, of course, the battle against gay marriage, and with election time fast approaching, we won't have to look far for more anti-gay rhetoric.

You've no doubt heard their argument somewhere before, perhaps in a recent column by conservative commentator Charles Krauthammer. Open the door for gay marriage, the argument says, and legalized polygamy will surely follow. Or, as Krauthammer wrote in his column "Pandora and Polygamy," if the gender requirement of a marriage partner is "nothing but prejudice, exclusion and an arbitrary denial of one's autonomous choices in love," as gay-marriage advocates argue, then the restriction on the number of spouses "is a similarly arbitrary, discriminatory and indefensible denial of individual choice."

Sounds reasonable, right? Sure does. In fact, loads of self-confessed liberals fall for it just as hard, even waving the 2003 Supreme Court decision Lawrence v. Texas, a ruling that said much about private sexual conduct but little about marriage. Only after you consider more serious questions about human nature and the role of marriage in society do the cracks show.

Living in Utah makes it easy to remember several key points about the practice of polygamy, and the first point worth remembering is that it's religiously motivated. Married atheists abound, but I've yet to meet a polygamous relationship that doesn't point to Section 132 of Doctrine & Covenants, the Old Testament, or spout the usual hokum about how hitching your train to more than one female boxcar is "required for exaltation and eternal salvation in the hereafter." Hard not to snicker whenever you hear that line, isn't it? That's because reason takes a holiday when it vacations in religious resorts. Remember, too, that while the First Amendment gives us freedom to observe virtually any religion imaginable, it nonetheless limits certain practices. Killing Christian converts may pass as religious freedom in Afghanistan but not here. Human sacrifices? Animal sacrifices? Denying medical care to your children in the name of religious faith? No, no and no.

Prohibiting polygamy is but a small price to pay for maintaining balance in civilized society. Think about it. Whether polyandry (many husbands, one wife) or polygamy, more than one spouse per person will eventually lead to a shortage of spouses for others and eventually more unmarried people. This has already played out in southern Utah and northern Arizona, where men young and old have been kicked out of polygamous communities. "Sorry pal, we're short a few women." Those in favor of legalizing polygamy argue that government has "no compelling interest" to prohibit the practice. Really? Not if people value the stabilizing force of monogamy, the only arrangement most people can afford in contrast to the huge financial responsibility of several spouses. Liberals in favor of legalizing polygamy probably won't care about an increasing number of unmarried people. Conservatives certainly will. That's why, contrary to the conservative scare tactic, legalizing marriage for millions of gay people will not lead to legal recognition for the 40,000 to 50,000 people who practice plural marriage. A scare tactic is just that, a scare tactic.

Which leads to my next point. Why does society boast millions of gay people but only a few hundred thousand practicing polygamists? Because sexual orientation is not a choice, while polygamy is. It takes lots of religious indoctrination, not to mention women with low self-esteem or an allergy to sexual jealousy, to get modern-day polygamy off the ground. Not so with gay men and lesbian women, who've been with us throughout the ages. Conservatives will probably forever insist that homosexuality is "a lifestyle choice," not a character trait. Most people in the real world know differently, so let conservatives talk all they want. All we need keep in mind is the crucial distinction between homosexuality and polygamy, the distinction between who people are sexually and what they might choose for themselves sexually.

All sorts of sexual arrangements are possible in the privacy of one's home and behind closed doors, including polyamory (polygamy without the religious baggage) but presumably all the sexual fun. There are open marriages, rare as they are. What's not possible now under law is the privilege and legal advantages of recognized monogamous relationships between gay people.

Conservatives want it that way, of course, because the continued prohibition against gay marriage lets conservatives cast gay people as philandering sinners incapable of commitment. If gay people could marry, they'd lose much of that card. There's little need for that now, though, as long as they can keep everyone frightened of legalized polygamy. Don't fall for it.

Tags: gays   polygamy  
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Fixing the Republican Primary Process–Common Sense

    As we head into the November election, many conservative Republican are still starching their heads and wondering, “How in the world did the media’s ‘moderate maverick of Arizona’ every become the Republican party’s Presidential nominee in 2008?”

   I think that the answer is actually pretty simple. The first primary states are acknowledged as having a impact toward candidate selection that is wholly disproportionate the election process in November.

   That’s true, but there is also a more important factor that is regularly and studiously ignored. Just who are these early primary “King makers?” The majority of the early primary states, those that proceed “Super Tuesday,” are staunchly liberal.

   When was the last time Iowa, Hawaii, Nevada, New Hampshire, or Michigan, were red states? Iowa was carried by the Democrat 3 out of the last 4 presidential elections.   Hawaii, Nevada, New Hampshire and Michigan are historically and predominately Democrat states–carried by the Democrats in all of the last 4 presidential elections.   Of the 9 early primary states, two are historically Republican (South Carolina & Wyoming), one is a historical swing state (Florida), and the other six are all solid Democrat states (Iowa, New Hampshire, Michigan, Nevada, Hawaii, and Maine). Represented by their votes in the electoral colleges, that’s 34 historically Democrat, 27 swing votes, and only 6 solid Republican votes.

   The Democrats couldn’t have constructed a better process for guaranteeing the selection of a non-conservative Republican candidate.

   The 2008 McCain Presidential nomination is the direct result of the Republican party permitting a group of small and historically liberal states–many with the practice of “open primary/caucus,” to effectively select our party’s Presidential nominee for us. Of the seven serious presidential candidates, there were only three left by Super-Tuesday, roughly 1 month after Iowa...all but one of the conservative candidates were eliminated for us by the early primary states.

   I am certain that the Republican party constituency would be a LOT more excited about having a conservative nominee who espoused the party values than a liberal candidate who was selected for us chiefly by the media, cross-over Democrats, and “independents.”   The cross-over Democrats and independents who sway the Republican nomination process in January, are unlikely to vote for the Republican candidate in November.

   There are a number of answers to fix this obviously broken wheel. What really puzzles me is WHY the Republican Party National Committee refuses to acknowledge that there is a problem...–a necessary precursor to implementing any kind of serious fix.
 
   Of the various ideas put forward, the one I like the best is the way most states organize themselves. The distribution of party convention delegates is based upon the number of registered Republicans in each precinct who voted in the last general election. Okay, so why not use the same reward system and hold 5 “Super Tuesday” style closed primaries; permitting those states with the highest percentage of Republican vote in the last general election to hold their primaries/caucus first? The first 10 states with the most per-capita Republican votes hold their caucuses or primaries on the 1st Thursday of January; about two weeks later, the next 10 states that delivered the highest percentage of Republican votes get their turn. This continues until about the end of February or the first couple of weeks of March, when the last 10 states, along with the US Territories & Protectorates (which ALWAYS vote Democrat –and don’t have electoral votes) get their turn.
 
   It would be REALLY nice to have a ticket where the party faithful are not forced to vote for the “more conservative” of two liberal candidates —both of which have been given to us by Democrats by the current Party nominating process.
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Nationalism as a Political Diversion

The socialist government of Argentine Presidente Cristina Kirchner, came into office on a platform of economic reforms ("fairness, justice, and equality") the end of political corruption, and the restoration of Argentine sovereignty to the British territories of the Falklands (Malvinas), South Georgia, and South Sandwich Islands–located in a range of 300 to 1000 off Argentina’s Southern most coasts.

The Argentine people have been enculturated with a profoundly distorted historical account of the British Empire displacing poor gauchos and Argentine settlers from the Malvinas; completing omitting the true facts that an American Privateer, David Jewett, raised the claim to the islands in 1820 on behalf of Las Provincias Unidas de Sud América (the United Provinces of South America–a predecessor government twice removed to the subsequent governments of PARTS of Argentina and Uruguay). The claim was made by Captain Jewett in observance to the conditions of his letters of marque he had obtained from the revolutionary government fighting for its independence from Spain. Argentina’s sole exercise of sovereignty on the islands was the establishment of a penal colony in 1828...which was destroyed less than 3 years later.

The island’s initial importance was as a port and reprovisioning site for sailing vessels engaged in the seal trade of the 1800's. Since the international fashion market for seal-skins vanished; and the opening of the Panama Canal, fishing and sheep herding have been the island’s only industries.

By the time the current boundaries had been drawn for the present day Argentina, and the first native-born Argentine was elected to government office, the British had ruled the islands for over 80 years. These facts have never been taught in Argentina’s textbooks. If presented with such information, over 90% of the Argentine public would immediately dismiss them as foreign propaganda, clinging instead to the romanticized myths of history passed dutifully from one generation to the next.

While I personally believe that the Argentine claim to the Falklands/Malvinas was every bit as viable as that of the British in the 1830s, it seems that after 175 years of continuous British occupation and settlement, the French, who originally discovered, claimed the IslasÎles Malovines would have an equal claim – which could by extension also just as reasonably support a Spanish attempt to reassert its historical claim over the whole of Uruguay or Argentina.

In the 1980's, government socialist market "reforms" induced a series of shortages in oil and essential consumer goods throughout Argentina. Inflation was in triple digits. In response to growing popular dissatisfaction with the government, the Argentine political leadership whipped up anti-British sentiment native nationalism, demanded the "return" of the Malvinas, and invaded the islands in 1982.

In support of the invasion, it was widely rumored that just off the coast of these islands were vast oil reserves that would make Argentina rich. This adding some legitimacy and plausibility for the government’s sudden national imperative for reclaiming islands after 150 years in British possession. Twenty-five years and a generation have gone by, and yet not one successful test drilling of the fabled oil and natural gases has been discovered.

The only mitigation to the disastrous Argentine invasion decision was the British government opting NOT to attack Argentina’s military staging, naval facilities or supporting infrastructure targets on the mainland. In the end, thousand of Argentine lives were lost in an failed attempt to divert public attention from unemployment, empty grocery shelves, and the abysmal underlying economic policies driving the recession. Following the war, the economy got a lot worse before it got better and the corrupt politicians largely avoided public retribution by escaped to foreign soil.

Once more the economy is being driven to the brink of failure by socialist economic "reform" policies. Once more, public dissent is being thuggishly quashed by agents of the government. Once more the answer to popular marches, protests and strikes is the trotting out of the sun-crested war flag, speeches decrying the British violation of Argentine sovereignty. Once more calls for Argentine patriotism and nationalism are being used as a political fig-leaf to draw attention away from the consequences of failed domestic policies.

The only open questions for the current government of Cristina Kirchner: To what extent will she risk the lives and treasure of Argentina in her efforts to maintain political control, after her government’s socialist meddling has all but destroyed the country’s financial and economic institutions? Will she, as her predecessors did, generate an international incident to divert the Argentine public’s attention away from issues of employment, inflation, and food shortages? Once the flags are waving, the protesters are marching, and the rhetoric gets to a fevered pitch, can Presidente Kirchner maintain control and avoid precipitating this diversion into another war that Argentina has no possibility of winning?

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Qualified Congressional Ear-mark Outrage

There appears to be a clear lack of consistency and a newly disclosed selectiveness to moral outrage when it comes to Congressional ear-marks. I guess some have qualified that ear-marks are only bad when the "bridge to no-where" isn’t being constructed in their congressional district.

There are several types of federal procurements. Currently the two main types of procurements are: free and open competition and directed source. The directed source procurement is often incorporated into an appropriation bill, and is commonly referred to as an ear-mark. In an ear-mark appropriation, Congress directs a department or agency to ignore the prior Congressional legislation governing federal acquisitions and is directed to use a portion of the approved budget for the purchase for goods &/or services, or directs certain construction projects (and often specific contractor(s)) outside of the mandated budgeting and acquisition processes.

In the recent instance of the KC-45A procurement, the Air Force tankers were initially directed to be leased as a sole-source acquisition from the Boeing Company by a Pentagon official, who subsequently retired and was immediately hired as a senior Boeing corporate executive...before the ink had dried on the tanker lease. The scandal was compounded by the fact that the acquisition official had arranged for her daughter to also be hired by Boeing as a "personal favor."

It was the wide level of publicity generated by these ethical lapses at both the Pentagon and Boeing that made it politically untenable for the prior lease to go forward or for the tanker purchase to be ear-marked as a directed acquisition to the Boeing Company.

Accordingly, the Air Force issued a request for proposal under its normal acquisition processes for full and open competition. While the contract was Boeing’s to lose, the solicitation was open to all "qualified, responsive and responsible bidders...those able to demonstrate a capability to meets all of the defined product and delivery specifications.

A specific set of general acquisition requirements were published and potential bidders were all allowed to ask questions and receive clarification on any aspect of the procurement. Included in the request for proposal was a specific set of evaluation criteria along with the relative weighting of each requirement to be evaluated. Cost, while important, was only one of many factors to be considered.

The legacy companies of both Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman have been competing for the manufacture of fighter aircraft for the US government from the earliest days of military aviation to the present. During the last 50 years, the Boeing Company has had an ABSOLUTE lock on ALL tankers and cargo aircraft in the current US inventory.

The major reason for Boeing ALWAYS winning cargo and tanker programs has been...because no other American company could demonstrate relevant experience in the recent manufacture of cargo or tanker air-frames. A Boeing favorable catch-22 situation that led to complacent Boeing management.

This time, another US aircraft company, Northrop Grumman Corporation, teamed with Airbus as it’s air-frame subcontractor, to overcome the Boeing marketing argument on air-frame experience. The tanker proposal requires Airbus & Northrop to jointly build co-production facilities within the US. While not all of the aircraft will be built in the US, the vast majority of production sub-assemblies, the air-frame, and aircraft finaly assembly will all be built or performed domestically.

The "BUY AMERICAN" argument is actually a red-herring. Is a Toyota produced in Kentucky with US steel and assembled by US plant workers less of an American car than a Dodge, where everything from the engine to the rocker panels were imported from either Asia or Mexico, and the assembled is in Detroit? Congressmen in Illinois and the auto-worker’s unions say yes; auto-assemblers in Kentucky and the public appear to disagree.

Is an KC-45A assembled by US worker in Mobile, Alabama less American than a KC-767A (200ER) assembled by US workers in Wichita, Kansas? Apparently the Congressional delegations of Washington and Kansas and pro-Boeing lobbyists do.

Perhaps the difference in the definition is found in the fact that the Alabama facilities are non-union and Boeing’s Wichita, Kansas facility has long been a closed union shop?

But a loss of the tanker program is only the tip of the ice-berg from a Boeing marketing perspective. The real reason many Boeing "supporters" in Congress want to see this baby smothered in its crib is because once the Northrop/Airbus production facilities are constructed, there will be TWO viable US contractors able to bid on the next generation of US conventional bombers, cargo planes and tankers; one encumbered by union inefficiencies and another, not so constrained.

While the C-17 is replacing the 1960's designed C-141, the Vietnam era C-5, fielded in the late 1970s, will soon require a lower maintenance and more efficient replacement. So too, the venerable B-52 has patches on it’s patches and there is nothing in the current inventory with an equivalent payload and range. I’m sure a price competitive alternative supplier is the LAST thing the Boeing lobbyists want to see. If Boeing lobbyists can’t kill Northrop’s venture into the hither private sandbox of major air-frames, the specter and headache of running into full and open competition for each of the aircraft replacement, maintenance, and ground-support acquisitions looms VERY large. What is at stake for Boeing is significantly larger marketing issue than the tanker program.

But for the Boeing ethics and public-relations fiasco, there never would have been a tanker solicitation issued. The acquisition would have been simply, "business as usual," with a Pentagon or Congressional sole-source directive for the Air Force to lease or buy from Boeing whatever Boeing chose to sell. The tanker solicitation clearly demonstrates that the Air Force would have paid at LEAST an extra $6B for the honor of purchasing an out-dated 1970's aircraft design with an equally obsolete avionics package. Boeing presented an offer based upon the 767 design–because it didn’t think it would need to offer anything better to win the Air Force contract.

The selected Northrop Grumman offering is acknowledged as the best of modern tanker aircraft and being sold at a substantially lower price than the converted Boeing 767. Because it is based upon the latest commercial aircraft design, it has up to date Northrop avionics, Honeywell communications, a current production commercial & fuel-efficient GE engine, and a modern computer generated aerodynamic air-frame design. Because other western countries (including Australia and Canada) have also committed to purchase the Airbus A330-200 tanker variant, the projected life-cycle maintenance and ground support costs are being shared by a significantly larger base of buyers.

From all the hue and cry, there appears to be a clear lack of consistency when it comes to Congressmen renouncing the evil of ear-marks. Some have now qualified that all ear-marks are bad–unless they are supported by well-funded union lobbyists. Others appear to oppose ear-marks, right up until the time that such political posturing on ethics could impact aircraft construction in their congressional district.

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Loss of the Republican Party

   In the early years of this nation, there were two parties. Liberals were Democrats and conservatives were Wigs (later to become Republican). In the 1800's there was a migration between parties as the Republican party became more liberal and pro-centralized big government. Democrats pushed for the conservative values of strict construction of the constitution and maintenance of the constitutional protections of governmental checks and balances.

   By the turn of the 1900s, the roles once more reversed. Wilson and later FDR were Democrats drawing more and more towards a strong central government engaged in overseeing all aspects of public live. Constitutional checks were often ignored in a slow but steady march towards a Soviet-styled socialist model...just easing into the concept one small program & government agency at a time.

   Currently, it appears that hard-line socialist and ultra-liberal wing are still control and are driving the Democrat party. While the two remaining Democrat candidates may be angering the vocal fringe by "triangulating" towards the center for the purpose of winning the national election--Both candidates share a Senate voting record that would do Stalin proud.

   The Republican party historically has offered Americans a conservative alternative to the Democrat's socialist policy initiatives. Unfortunately, the last few weeks have proved that a strongly liberal influence is definitely in a power ascendency within the Republican party.

   Just four years ago, Senator McCain, shortly considered switching party affiliation and running with John Kerry on the Democrat’s national presidential ticket. Notwithstanding this, with the right political organization, a straight-faced denial of almost 50 years of liberal Senate voting, Senator McCain has become the Republican party’s national candidate.

   The values and core-beliefs of the majority of the Republican Party-faithful certainly didn't change--so what is going on?

   With this shift we've seen, I'm concluding that there are only a few things left for the majority conservative wing of the Republican party to keep from becoming the party of socialist-lite:

1) Abandon the caucus concept.

   For years, activists have used the caucus process to distort & influence candidate selection . . . which is counter productive when the intent is to choose a candidate that reflects the values, issues, and priorities of the general party membership.

2) A closed national Republican primary.

   The early "primary" states: New Hampshire, Iowa, Michigan, and North Carolina are generally more liberal. In past national elections, these states and have either gone Democrat or the Republican margin of victory has been extremely small. Is it surprising then that a liberal Republican candidate does well with this electorate? The liberal influence is compounded by many of the early states holding "open primaries" where non-conservatives have an even greater sway in picking the Republican "front-runner" and choosing our candidate. Would the Democrats agree to an open Utah primary being their first primary state; with conservative cross-over voters having a similar influence on their candidate selection? Of course not. Why then should Republicans continue to acquiesce and allow a few traditional non-Republican/marginal Republican states to significantly sway our selection of a national candidate?

   While California, New York, Ohio & Florida will have a significantly greater influence in a closed national primary, at least they would have the virtue of representing the will of a larger and more representative body of our party membership. An easy answer to those state parties that object to a closed national Republican primary–take a page from the Democrat play-book, don’t seat any delegates from states that refuse to comply.

3) Standardize primary polling times

   To preclude the influence on early poll reporting, have a fixed national time for poll opening and closing. Polls open at 9:00 AM EDT and close at 9:00 PM PDT; with the reporting of poll results held until after closure. Most states already permit early voting for those that would find poll times inconvenient. We’ll still have networks breathlessly proclaiming trends via exit polls; but, recent spectacular failures has tempered broadcasters willingness to stake their reputations on early pronouncements.

   A side advantage is that this change would refocus time spent at the national convention from reporting on old news --where states report on the results of their primary vote–-that everyone already knows about, building the national party platform.

4) Standardize the party’s delegate allotment process

   To emphasis the change to a national primary, another needed change is to move away from the practice of state winner-take-all delegate allotments. The rationale for winner-take-all is to increase the political influence of a particular state. Simply put, its an ego and power-play thing. If the intent is to take a more accurate pulse on who the party membership wants to represent them in a national election, then this kind of gamesmanship is counter productive. An argument that the current electoral-college practice is primarily a states’ winner-take-all process, that does NOT need to drive the way our party selects its national candidate. Using the current primary as a base-line for analysis, an state allotment based on a popular vote, or the California-style allotment by congressional district, really wouldn't’t have a significant impact or sway the selection of a national party candidate.

   These changes won’t make the process perfect, but they will go a long ways toward mitigating the current situation, were the many conservatives in the party are being unwillingly drug by a minority of RINOs. Our party is on the cusp of selecting a candidate who does not reflect our grass-root values and has been historically on the wrong side of most issues important to conservatives. The current process has forced upon the Republican party a liberal candidate that has no chance of winning – no chance of winning either the support of the dominate party majority of conservatives, nor a national election.

   With the withdrawal of Mitt Romney, the last remaining candidate who had any claim of representing our party’s conservative values, its too late to avoid a debacle in 2008. Perhaps we’ll learn from 2008 and implement the changes needed to retake the party nominating process in time to right the ship for the election in 2012.

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Emotions v Economics & Common-sense–The Minimum Wage Debate

“. . . It is a tale told by an idiot, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing. . . .”

            William Shakespeare, The Oxford Shakespeare, Macbeth, Act V. Scene V.

    If Shakespeare had been addressing the flawed political rhetoric used to shout down any economic discussion of the value of today’s minimum-wage legislation, he couldn’t have phrased a better or more descriptive summary.  I find their elitist pronouncements about job environment for minimum wage earners much akin to the 18th century Marie Antoinette attitude of, “If the peasants have no bread, then let them eat cake.”

    The Salt Lake Tribune recently reported on a stalled bill in Utah’s state legislature, which would increase the state minimum-wage ahead of the current federal minimum-wage, and subsequently index annual increases to the national inflation rate.

    “Neil Hansen, D-Ogden, presented HB114 to the House Business and Labor Committee Wednesday, recommending raising the minimum-wage each year to keep pace with the consumer price index.  The measure stalled, with all but two legislators voting to adjourn without taking action on the bill.

    Utah mandates a $5.85 hourly minimum-wage. Federal law requires the minimum-wage to increase incrementally over the next two years. On July 24 it jumps to $6.55, then a year later to $7.25.  According to www.laborlawcenter.com, the minimum-wage in other states ranges from $5.85 to Washington's $8.07.

    Rep. Ben Ferry, R-Corinne, asked Hansen why he wanted to separate Utah from the federal system.  ‘Several states have different minimum-wages higher than the federal standard,’ Hansen replied. ‘In fairness to those making minimum-wage - some are trying to provide for families - and inflation rises but the minimum-wage does not.’”  --Minimum-wage increases, Proposal Stalls in House Committee, By Cathy McKitrick, The Salt Lake Tribune, 01/31/2008

    The persistent mantra and a political urban legend is that there are a significant number of people in minimum-wage jobs supporting families.  If we look hard enough, we could possibly find an instance or two where that is true. However; when the US Congress went out to prove the need for the last round of minimum-wage increases--three studies turned up only a few antidotal instances of minimum-wage earners with families who were a) in the job for more than 6 months; b) working more than part time; c) not a student; d) without a spouse earning greater than minimum-wage; e) in the minimum-wage job as the sole source of income (i.e. retirees); or, f) not receiving government financial subsidies in supplement to wages earned.  The studies even fudged a bit by “imputing” an average "hourly" wage, for some farm and factory workers, actually paid based upon production or output.  This was done in an attempt to expand the minimum-wage population to include a greater number of immigrant/migrant workers.

    While not providing percentages, the findings indicate "a majority" of interviewed workers, earning at or slightly above the federal minimum-wage, had the expectation of using the new skills learned in their current employ to obtain better jobs in the “near future.”  In other words, most US minimum-wage employ is being used as a short-term entry-level opportunity, leading towards anticipated future jobs with better pay.

    When I was a kid, my first job with a paycheck was working for the local dry-cleaner doing odd-jobs at a "student-wage." The student-wage paid roughly half of the then minimum-wage.  The other merchants were hiring older kids who got the higher paying minimum-wage.  I was in Junior High School, and 13 years old.  It was understandable that the minimum-wage employers didn’t want to take a chance on a younger worker, when they could hire a 16 year old High School student, who should be more mature and responsible, for the same price.  I was at the dry-cleaner job for <6 months.  I used references from the student-wage dry-cleaner job to show my next employer that I was demonstrably dependable, reliable and responsible.  Because of my age, I was hired on a trial basis during the Christmas shopping season and later was kept on when some of the less industrious older kids got laid-off before the start of the January linen-sales.

    I worked at that job for <6 months, using that experience to help get a much better paying "summer job" (another trial period opportunity--which lead to a nice raise in the Fall and I continued on as part-time employee after school).  I made more during that next summer than I did the prior year from the income of both the earlier student-wage and the minimum wage jobs combined.  That Fall, my part-time job paid about one and half times the minimum wage, and I made sure to work hard enough that my employer considered me to be a bargain for what he was paying me.  I kept that job for the entire school year before once more trading up for higher wages the following summer.

    The point is, MY KIDS don't have the same path to entry level employment.  We've legislated away most of these opportunities.  Wage increases have destroyed a number of starter jobs. Increased employer taxes have destroyed others.  Increased employer work place liability & regulations have destroyed still more.  Of the remaining manual labor/low skill starter jobs, teenagers now have to compete with an ever increasing influx of older immigrant workers who are grateful to assume these entry-level jobs–paying a LOT more than even the best jobs available to them back home.

   Increasing the minimum-wage by $1 an hour, for a full-time employed person, will generally result in <$20 net pay per week; or, just about $1K per year. That will NOT result in any appreciable change to the workers standard of living.  It WILL however, result in a few less available entry level jobs for those who would have used such work as a starting point into the larger job market or to climb the rungs of employment towards a satisfactory vocation or career.

   Increasing the minimum-wage is a hollow victory for a few politicians that haven't yet considered doing a reality check using a calculator. The vocal advocates for higher minimum-wages obviously know VERY LITTLE about the kinds of jobs such legislation would be affecting.  When confronted by the historic FACT that there have been reductions in entry-level jobs EVERY TIME the minimum wage has been raised, they ignore the relevant financial realities and pretend that their good intentions will more than make up for the fact that those who were unemployed, who would have taken the unskilled entry-level jobs, are now both unemployed AND unemployable.

  For those without job, or even the near-term prospect of job, it is small comfort or solace that the liberal activist and the progressive politician have achieved a personal moral victory against the greedy bourgeoisie –at the expense of many of the proletariat’s employment opportunities.  To the moneyed activist, the insulated politician and the reality-disenfranchised academia, the loss of entry-level jobs appears to be an inconsequential matter. . . after all, who in their right mind would really want to do such distasteful work at such a low wage?  Aren’t they really much better off unemployed than working at menial and low-paying jobs?

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Another Knee-jerk Reaction

  In today’s Salt Lake Tribune, the story headline read: Firearms law often shirked,

Loophole keeps guns in hands of people served protective orders

  The catalyst for this story is the recent and tragic death of Mrs. Ragsdale who was shot to death in the Church parking lot by her estranged husband who was under a court domestic protective order. The article goes on to say that 19 states have provisions for confiscation of all guns (not just handguns) of anyone served with a court protect/restraining order.

  "While federal law bars anyone under a protection order from having, possessing or buying a firearm, it does not set up a mechanism for states to confiscate weapons. Utah relies on an honor system that assumes a person under a protection order will stay away from firearms - even when there is a record of a threat to use one . . . . [‘The Utah protective] order doesn't say we have to take it away from you, it just says you can't have it,’ said Jaroscak, which highlights the loophole between federal law and state practice."

  The article goes on to paint the picture that, "if only Utah had a mandatory gun confiscation law for circumstances such as this . . . and maybe a gun registration database, then Mrs. Ragsdale might be alive today!

  Once more, logic loses out to emotion on the anti-gun media.

  How is a law, requiring a person under a protective order to surrender his/her gun, going to make a difference to someone who is bent on pre-meditated murder as was Mr. Ragsdale?

  I'm not sure the victim or the victim’s family will feel MUCH better knowing the police could also slap a fire-arms violation onto existing homicide charge.

  There are between 2.8 and 3.0 million people now living in the state of Utah. There were about 50 homicides in 2007. About half of these were shooting related deaths. Of the reported 5,850 protective orders issued in 2007, there is one identified instance of a related handgun homicide. In 2006 there were slightly fewer protective orders issued, and no shooting homicides identified as being related.

  Before we all jump on the legislative-fix band-wagon, a few questions need to be soberly considered:

1) Is the problem a real problem or is it simple public perception of a problem based upon news reporting/editorials? In Utah, is there a statical relationship between handguns homicides of victims under court protective or restraining orders?

2) Can a REAL fix be legislated? That is to say in this kind of situation, can passing a law be relied upon to ACTUAL result in the hoped for outcome -- fewer shooting deaths perpetrated by individuals being limited by judicial restraining orders?

3) Has a law banning possession of a fire-arm ever statically been shown as a successful deterrent in precluding pre-meditated homicides?

4) Has a gun ban or gun confiscation ever proved effective in reducing crime of ANY type, irrespect of the criminal activity targeted by the law?

5) If we REALLY think (or at least hope) that a court ordered gun confiscation will reduce related homicides, how would we measure success given only one identified instance of homicide associated with roughly 11,700 protective orders in the last two years?

If we can come up with a way to reasonably measure a success criteria, wouldn't a limited "Test program" be appropriate to see reality follows the untested theory? Perhaps we could simply try the theory against 19 states with provisions for seizing guns: Would implementation of a gun confiscation provision have significantly reduced the possibility of the murderer from both a) obtaining a gun; AND/OR b) substantially reduced the risk of the perpetrator carrying out the homicide by some other means?

  Sadly, in the most recent news story, the answer is clearly no. The assailant could just as easily attacked the victim in the parking lot with a kitchen knife with the same outcome. Even if we look to other states with gun confiscation practices, I doubt that we’d find any objectively supported evidence to show a better out come.

  I do note, that the assailant chose to execute his victim in a church parking lot where personal concealed gun carry was banned – and timely help of any kind was unlikely to be available. As I understand that the first shots fired missed the victim, perhaps an armed Mrs. Ragsdale or fellow parishioner with a concealed weapons permit would have rendered a different outcome. After all, the protective order ignored by Mr. Ragsdale had prohibitions in it against approaching, or harming his estranged wife–if he ignored those, would he have radically changed his plans if the police had come by a month earlier and confiscated the gun when they issued the original notice?

  We could all hope so, but I think our hopes would have been hollow and unfounded. Mr. Ragsdale was angry and wanted his wife dead. I reasonably think that if Mr. Ragsdale had lacked a gun, he would have shown up that same morning with a knife or ball-bat. . . but he would have shown up all the same–with the very same outcome

  As a related aside, something just doesn’t seem to add up for me. A couple of parts of the recent Salt Lake Tribune story seem to not be ringing true without some clarification (which I’ve asked Representative Fowlke for).

In the article it stated that:

  "A month earlier, Ragsdale had threatened to use a gun to ‘take care of things’ during an altercation. A judge issued a protection order that noted Ragsdale, who kept a 9 mm Glock firearm in the trunk of his BMW, was not to have, possess or transport a weapon.

That prohibition was included in a mutual restraining order the couple agreed to in mid-December. Two weeks later, Ragsdale allegedly used the weapon to kill his wife.

Kristy Ragsdale's family assumed the gun had been taken away, but Lorie Fowlke, Kristy's attorney, said she and her client knew it had not."

  A few paragraphs further on the newspaper reports:

  "Lehi Police Lt. Harold Terry said a family member or friend is usually put in charge of making sure a restricted person doesn't have access to a gun. ‘If a restricted person is later found to be in possession of a weapon, he or she can be arrested. If you violate the protective order, you go to jail,’ Terry said."

  If attorney and state legislator Ms. Fowlke and Mrs. Ragsdale KNEW that Mr. Ragsdale was armed with the handgun, in direct violation of his court restraining order, one would be reasonable in assuming that violation of the court order was promptly reported to the Lehi police department?

  Did the Lehi police ignore the reported violation of the court order and just decide not enforce the related requirement to arrest Mr. Ragsdale for its violation?

  As a result of this incident, Rep. Fowlke said " . . . she is ‘ . . . mulling legislation to balance the right to be free from violence versus Second Amendment rights. [In the Ragsdale case], the only thing I can think of that might have made a difference is actually confiscating the gun. Maybe we need to look at that. . . .’ "

  Bad reporting? A politician putting herself the best possible light in a newspaper article? A grossly negligent police department? As the old saying goes, "Something smells fishy in the ports of Denmark."

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When Equal is Defined as More Equal

  The first proposed bill for the upcoming 2008 Utah legislative session is one sponsored by Rep. Christine Johnson, D-Salt Lake City. The presented bill proposes to grant workplace anti-discrimination protection for employees based on "sexual orientation" and "gender identity." Especially, granting protected status in employment for certain sexual preferences.

  I am against the baseless ill-treatment of anyone. Ill treating someone based upon their weight, natural hair color, complexion problems, or height are just as unreasonable to me as mistreating someone because of their gay lifestyle. This does not mean that I’m supportive of laws which make name calling on the school-yard a criminal offense.

People make LOTS of lifestyle choices, some of them are more socially agreeable, while others are less accepted. Opening the door to grant a favored status or promote some choices by force through the legal system does not seem to be a very good or morally sound idea.

  For years, it has been gratuitously asserted that one’s sexual orientation is not a choice, but rather a genetic predisposition. The claim of there being a "gay gene" has never been supported by anything other than rhetoric, shouting and righteous indignation against "homophobia." [If there is a recessive homosexual gene, why hasn’t its carriers been subject to the normal elimination processes imposed by natural selection?]

  If each individual’s personal sexual orientation were to be demonstrated as genetic in origin –rooted before birth in one’s DNA, then would not we also be morally obligated to establish similar protected status and allowance for other publicly discriminated sexual orientations: pedophilia, necrophilia, polygyny and perhaps bestiality? The logic for such protection is straight-forward (no pun intended); if sexual orientation is of a genetic predisposition, then there could be NO moral or rightful basis for establishing laws advancing or rejecting one sexual orientation or preference as being "more natural" or preferred over any other in the spectrum of human sexual proclivities.

  But that’s not what is being sought.

  What is desired is not that all sexual orientations be granted an equal legal status, but that their preferred lifestyle be given unique public status, above all others, that permits them additional legal and civil protections not enjoyed by anyone else. Draped in the robes of "fairness" and "equality" is to make some in our society, ". . . more equal than others."

I am against the baseless ill-treatment of anyone. I think that such actions are wrong.

I also find no moral foundation in imposing upon the majority the recognition of "superior-rights" for a minority. Forcing the public the wrong way to do the "right thing" is itself morally insupportable. If our LBTG community truly wants to gain public acceptance and native civility towards the cause, seeking to mandate it through police and lawyers is NOT the best venue or approach for continuing a favorable public dialogue.

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Lowering the Drinking Age for the Military

   A short while ago, I read an editorial article asserting the state of Utah was "unfair" due to the nature of its liquor laws and the government's prudish refusal to consider legislation to extend drinking privileges to 18 year old soldiers and sailors.

  The author noted that many military commanders overseas permit both the sale and consumption of alcohol by their enlisted personnel. He also pulled out all of the old canards and slogans of the 1960s and 1970s, used by activists to extend federal voting rights to 18 year olds, as support to bolster his arguments to the state’s legislature for changing state laws.

   I submitted my comments in opposition to the article and idea to both the author and the newspaper’s opinion page editor. I really didn’t expect either notice or response to my refutation–and I wasn’t disappointed.

   I lived through the Viet Nam war era and clearly remember the passage of the 26th Amendment in 1971 when 18 year olds got the vote. The editorial author paraphrased the mantra of that day: "If I'm old enough to fight & die, I'm old enough to vote & drink." While 18-25 is one of our largest population groups, they're also the least likely to vote...that's been true for over 30+ years now. Changing the vote age back to 21 would impact voting percentages by < 1%.

   Many states lowered their drinking age to 18 during the 70's & 80's. After the death tolls went through the roof, within just a few years, these same states universally raised drinking ages back to 21. The social experiment with a lower drinking age needlessly cost thousands o